Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.5%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Richards 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 63.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.7%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Eller
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Eller
Richards
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Eller
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
50.0% (3,722)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
54.6% (445)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
51.4% (502)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Eller
Richards
Home
51.4% (6,118)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Eller
Richards
P1
51.2%
49.6%
P2
50.1%
52.3%
P3
50.2%
49.3%
OT
56.7%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |