Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Richards 49.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Eller
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Richards
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Eller
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
49.7% (352)
+3.2%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
42.9% (7)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
49.1% (116)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Eller shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Eller
Richards
Home
49.7% (181)
49.4% (247)
Away
51.3% (228)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Eller
Richards
P1
54.2%
53.8%
P2
46.5%
47.7%
P3
49.6%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mike Richards |