Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 65.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Eller
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Eller
Santorelli
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
4
5
Eller
Santorelli
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
4
Eller
Santorelli
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Santorelli
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
48.4% (1,835)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
56.0% (298)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
48.5% (132)
-1.8%
On power play, Santorelli has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Eller
Santorelli
Home
51.4% (6,118)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Eller
Santorelli
P1
51.2%
51.0%
P2
50.1%
49.7%
P3
50.2%
47.6%
OT
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |