Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 72.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.6%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 55.9%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Eller
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Santorelli
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Eller
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Eller
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
45.1% (348)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
42.4% (33)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Eller is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Eller shoots left. Santorelli is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Eller
Santorelli
Home
48.3% (329)
49.5% (188)
Away
44.9% (356)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Eller
Santorelli
P1
50.0%
48.8%
P2
41.3%
40.7%
P3
47.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |