Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Santorelli 47.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 68.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Eller
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Eller
Santorelli
Last 7: Eller 6-1 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Santorelli
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
45.0% (160)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
64.3% (14)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
41.7% (12)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Eller is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Eller shoots left. Santorelli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Eller
Santorelli
Home
54.6% (383)
41.4% (87)
Away
48.9% (401)
50.5% (99)
By Period
Eller
Santorelli
P1
53.8%
39.1%
P2
52.5%
56.9%
P3
48.6%
44.4%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |