Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Grigorenko 55.1% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 85.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 78.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Eller
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Eller
Grigorenko
Last 9: Eller 1-8 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
5
Eller
Grigorenko
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Eller
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Eller
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
54.8% (157)
-5.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
40.0% (5)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
76.7% (30)
-37.6%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Eller
Grigorenko
Home
47.5% (421)
64.4% (118)
Away
46.8% (462)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Eller
Grigorenko
P1
47.8%
54.2%
P2
47.3%
55.6%
P3
46.1%
63.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |