Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Berglund 48.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 66.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 57.7%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Eller
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Eller
Berglund
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
6
Eller
Berglund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eller
Berglund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
6
Eller
Berglund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
49.0% (4,697)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
51.3% (548)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
43.2% (461)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Eller
Berglund
Home
51.4% (6,118)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Eller
Berglund
P1
51.2%
49.3%
P2
50.1%
48.2%
P3
50.2%
49.0%
OT
56.7%
39.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |