Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Elias 42.7% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 80.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 69.1%
Neutral zone
Elias 75.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Eller
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Eller
Elias
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Eller
Elias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
5
Eller
Elias
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
4
Eller
Elias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (10,168)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
48.4% (405)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,740)
36.0% (367)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Eller shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Eller
Elias
Home
51.4% (6,057)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
49.7% (6,500)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Eller
Elias
P1
51.2%
41.1%
P2
50.0%
43.1%
P3
50.2%
43.0%
OT
56.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |