Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gardner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Gardner 49.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Eller
Gardner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Gardner
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Gardner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Gardner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gardner
2
3
Eller
Gardner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gardner
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
44.9% (49)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
100.0% (1)
-45.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
66.7% (3)
-19.9%
On power play, Gardner has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gardner shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Gardner is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Eller
Gardner
Home
51.3% (513)
53.3% (15)
Away
52.5% (520)
44.7% (38)
By Period
Eller
Gardner
P1
50.3%
47.1%
P2
52.8%
52.4%
P3
51.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
71.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |