Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Peverley 56.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 82.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 82.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Eller
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Eller
Peverley
Last 8: Eller 1-7 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
5
Eller
Peverley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Eller
Peverley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
56.1% (278)
-6.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
81.8% (22)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
60.7% (61)
-16.6%
On power play, Peverley has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Eller is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Eller shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Eller
Peverley
Home
51.0% (259)
53.9% (191)
Away
47.7% (283)
63.5% (170)
By Period
Eller
Peverley
P1
45.7%
60.9%
P2
44.3%
57.9%
P3
56.7%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |