Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Peverley 58.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 82.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 81.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Eller
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Eller
Peverley
Last 9: Eller 1-8 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
4
Eller
Peverley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
2
Eller
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Eller
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
62.8% (414)
-9.5%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
54.2% (96)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
52.2% (69)
-2.2%
On even strength, Peverley has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Eller shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Eller
Peverley
Home
52.8% (525)
63.9% (324)
Away
53.7% (454)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Eller
Peverley
P1
53.9%
63.3%
P2
54.8%
60.1%
P3
50.9%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |