Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Nash 45.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Eller
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Nash
Last 6: Eller 3-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Eller
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
44.8% (270)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.0% (10)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
22.2% (9)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Eller is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Eller shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Eller
Nash
Home
51.0% (259)
44.2% (147)
Away
47.7% (283)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Eller
Nash
P1
45.7%
39.1%
P2
44.3%
47.8%
P3
56.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Riley Nash |