Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Nash 46.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 72.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Eller
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eller
Nash
Last 6: Eller 5-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Eller
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
46.0% (615)
+7.3%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
58.6% (29)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
27.3% (22)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Eller shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Eller
Nash
Home
52.8% (525)
54.1% (320)
Away
53.7% (454)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Eller
Nash
P1
53.9%
44.8%
P2
54.8%
47.5%
P3
50.9%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |