Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Nash 46.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 57.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Eller
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Nash
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Eller
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
46.1% (306)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
16.7% (6)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
38.1% (21)
+5.8%
On power play, Eller has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Eller
Nash
Home
49.4% (559)
46.5% (157)
Away
48.5% (550)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Eller
Nash
P1
50.1%
47.7%
P2
46.7%
39.8%
P3
49.9%
47.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |