Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Nash 48.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 70.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Eller
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Nash
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
48.3% (449)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
37.5% (8)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
45.5% (55)
+1.3%
On power play, Eller has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Eller shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Eller
Nash
Home
51.3% (513)
51.6% (275)
Away
52.5% (520)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Eller
Nash
P1
50.3%
52.7%
P2
52.8%
43.9%
P3
51.4%
47.7%
OT
87.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |