Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 69.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 51.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Eller
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Getzlaf
Last 6: Eller 3-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
Eller
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
48.1% (939)
+4.8%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
56.8% (222)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
41.4% (58)
+4.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Eller shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Eller
Getzlaf
Home
49.7% (181)
49.4% (591)
Away
51.3% (228)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Eller
Getzlaf
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
47.4%
P3
49.6%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |