Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.3%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Eller
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eller
Getzlaf
Last 6: Eller 5-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
51.6% (812)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
55.3% (94)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
45.2% (126)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Eller shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Eller
Getzlaf
Home
51.3% (513)
52.5% (531)
Away
52.5% (520)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Eller
Getzlaf
P1
50.3%
47.8%
P2
52.8%
54.6%
P3
51.4%
52.6%
OT
87.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |