Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 80.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Eller
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eller
Kalinin
Last 8: Eller 5-3 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
41.9% (453)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
33.3% (18)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
40.0% (25)
+6.7%
On power play, Eller has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Eller
Kalinin
Home
51.4% (6,118)
42.8% (285)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Eller
Kalinin
P1
51.2%
43.8%
P2
50.1%
40.6%
P3
50.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |