Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Kalinin 44.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 72.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Eller
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Kalinin
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
1
Eller
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
41.3% (155)
+7.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
100.0% (1)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
38.9% (18)
+0.2%
On power play, Kalinin has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Kalinin is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Eller
Kalinin
Home
47.5% (421)
42.9% (112)
Away
46.8% (462)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Eller
Kalinin
P1
47.8%
51.8%
P2
47.3%
32.1%
P3
46.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |