Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Leino 45.2% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Eller
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Leino
Last 6: Eller 3-3 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
2
Eller
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
43.7% (254)
+9.6%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
43.8% (32)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eller shoots left. Leino is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Eller
Leino
Home
52.8% (525)
45.0% (160)
Away
53.7% (454)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Eller
Leino
P1
53.9%
43.6%
P2
54.8%
42.3%
P3
50.9%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ville Leino |