Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Lecavalier 49.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 65.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Eller
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Lecavalier
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
1
Eller
Lecavalier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Lecavalier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
49.7% (155)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
48.6% (35)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Eller shoots left. Lecavalier is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Eller
Lecavalier
Home
54.6% (383)
48.5% (97)
Away
48.9% (401)
51.1% (94)
By Period
Eller
Lecavalier
P1
53.8%
42.9%
P2
52.5%
46.6%
P3
48.6%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |