Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Sobotka 52.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 52.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Eller
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Sobotka
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Eller
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
54.5% (55)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
60.0% (15)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Sobotka is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Eller
Sobotka
Home
51.3% (513)
67.9% (28)
Away
52.5% (520)
47.6% (42)
By Period
Eller
Sobotka
P1
50.3%
64.0%
P2
52.8%
61.1%
P3
51.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |