Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Smith 49.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 50.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Eller
Smith
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Eller
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
48.0% (761)
-2.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
70.4% (27)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
49.5% (196)
+1.3%
On power play, Smith has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
48.3% (329)
49.9% (523)
Away
44.9% (356)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
50.0%
47.5%
P2
41.3%
50.4%
P3
47.4%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |