Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Smith 51.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Smith
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Eller
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
52.6% (635)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
45.5% (44)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
48.1% (52)
-4.0%
On power play, Eller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
51.0% (259)
53.4% (371)
Away
47.7% (283)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
45.7%
50.2%
P2
44.3%
52.2%
P3
56.7%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |