Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dauphin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 47.4% vs Stastny 55.6% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Dauphin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dauphin
Stastny
Last 5: Dauphin 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dauphin
3
2
Dauphin
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (65)
56.5% (967)
-13.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.4% (125)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.8% (128)
-10.8%
On even strength, Stastny has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dauphin is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Dauphin shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Stastny
Home
35.3% (17)
56.8% (590)
Away
46.4% (56)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Dauphin
Stastny
P1
46.4%
59.7%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
29.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
43.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |