Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 27.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 39.0% vs Koivu 52.1% (-25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 71.7%
Defensive zone
Korpikoski 61.5%
Neutral zone
Korpikoski 73.2%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Korpikoski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Korpikoski
Koivu
Last 5: Korpikoski 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Korpikoski
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Korpikoski
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
29.0% (62)
52.5% (802)
-23.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
52.0% (198)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
49.5% (105)
-35.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Korpikoski is 27.9% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Korpikoski shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Koivu
Home
32.3% (31)
54.6% (584)
Away
23.2% (56)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Korpikoski
Koivu
P1
18.5%
50.7%
P2
33.3%
51.1%
P3
31.6%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
18.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
26.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |