Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.9% vs 44.1%). Look for Korpikoski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Korpikoski wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 45.6% vs Oshie 45.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 55.4%
Defensive zone
Oshie 50.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 53.9%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Korpikoski
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Korpikoski
Oshie
Last 6: Korpikoski 4-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
4
0
Korpikoski
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Korpikoski
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (191)
46.8% (186)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (35)
25.0% (16)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
36.0% (25)
-6.6%
On power play, Korpikoski has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Korpikoski is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Korpikoski shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Oshie
Home
42.3% (142)
47.2% (106)
Away
46.1% (102)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Korpikoski
Oshie
P1
37.1%
55.6%
P2
43.6%
40.8%
P3
50.0%
37.5%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
43.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |