Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Brown 39.6% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Brown 54.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Carlsson
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
37.4% (457)
+3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
39.4% (33)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
25.0% (4)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Brown
Home
42.2% (1,044)
39.7% (239)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Carlsson
Brown
P1
43.3%
39.8%
P2
36.5%
33.7%
P3
43.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%