Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 82.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 50.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 64.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Carlsson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carlsson
Blueger
Last 5: Carlsson 1-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Carlsson
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Carlsson
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
49.4% (265)
-4.4%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
66.7% (9)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
34.0% (50)
-1.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Blueger
Home
42.5% (435)
49.8% (215)
Away
45.5% (429)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Carlsson
Blueger
P1
45.3%
46.4%
P2
38.7%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
44.8%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |