Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 57.4%
Defensive zone
Komarov 60.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 60.6%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Komarov
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Komarov
Wallmark
Last 7: Komarov 1-6 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
3
Komarov
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Komarov
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Komarov
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
50.5% (1,852)
-1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
56.3% (103)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
44.9% (216)
+0.7%
On power play, Wallmark has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Komarov
Wallmark
Home
49.2% (537)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
45.7% (591)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Komarov
Wallmark
P1
47.6%
51.4%
P2
47.3%
50.8%
P3
47.5%
48.7%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |