Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.2% vs Wallmark 50.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 66.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 62.9%
Neutral zone
Komarov 74.3%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Komarov
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Komarov
Wallmark
Last 7: Komarov 1-6 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
3
Komarov
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Komarov
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Komarov
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (70)
50.2% (633)
-7.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
71.9% (32)
-71.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
43.2% (88)
-16.5%
On power play, Wallmark has a +71.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Komarov is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Komarov shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Komarov
Wallmark
Home
40.0% (40)
48.6% (368)
Away
39.1% (46)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Komarov
Wallmark
P1
36.1%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
55.0%
P3
37.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
22.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |