Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Komarov 53.1%
Defensive zone
Komarov 67.6%
Neutral zone
Komarov 60.3%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Komarov
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Komarov
Koivu
Last 10: Komarov 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Komarov
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
54.0% (9,465)
-5.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
58.6% (2,100)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
48.9% (1,688)
-3.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Komarov
Koivu
Home
49.2% (537)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.7% (591)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Komarov
Koivu
P1
47.6%
53.5%
P2
47.3%
54.6%
P3
47.5%
54.0%
OT
41.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |