Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 49.7% vs Koivu 54.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.8%
Defensive zone
Komarov 63.6%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Komarov
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Komarov
Koivu
Last 5: Komarov 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Komarov
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (159)
55.3% (1,268)
-1.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.6% (321)
-57.6%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
51.0% (202)
-22.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Komarov is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Komarov shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Komarov
Koivu
Home
48.6% (107)
58.3% (906)
Away
50.6% (85)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Komarov
Koivu
P1
44.8%
53.0%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
53.0%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
49.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |