Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Komarov wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 49.7% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Komarov 91.1%
Defensive zone
Komarov 90.1%
Neutral zone
Komarov 89.4%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Komarov
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Komarov
Bergeron
Last 10: Komarov 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Komarov
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
6
Komarov
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Komarov
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (159)
60.5% (1,394)
-6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.0% (300)
-64.0%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
53.7% (255)
-24.7%
On power play, Bergeron has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Komarov is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Komarov shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Komarov
Bergeron
Home
48.6% (107)
62.0% (949)
Away
50.6% (85)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Komarov
Bergeron
P1
44.8%
59.2%
P2
50.0%
63.9%
P3
53.0%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
49.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |