Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Komarov wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 51.9% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 95.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 63.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 86.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Komarov
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Komarov
Bergeron
Last 6: Komarov 5-1 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Komarov
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
4
0
Komarov
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (79)
58.4% (972)
-10.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.4% (221)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (132)
56.0% (175)
-0.7%
On power play, Komarov has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Komarov is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Komarov shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Komarov
Bergeron
Home
57.1% (105)
59.0% (712)
Away
48.6% (107)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Komarov
Bergeron
P1
54.4%
59.1%
P2
52.3%
60.2%
P3
53.1%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
64.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |