Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.2%
Defensive zone
Komarov 67.8%
Neutral zone
Komarov 59.9%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Komarov
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Komarov
Stastny
Last 10: Komarov 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
7
Komarov
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
5
2
Komarov
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.0%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
59.1% (1,994)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Komarov
Stastny
Home
49.2% (537)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.7% (591)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Komarov
Stastny
P1
47.6%
56.3%
P2
47.3%
55.4%
P3
47.5%
53.5%
OT
41.2%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |