Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.3%). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Varone 47.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 57.9%
Defensive zone
Komarov 56.5%
Neutral zone
Komarov 50.7%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Komarov
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Komarov
Varone
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Komarov
Varone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
47.5% (575)
+1.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
38.5% (13)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
50.0% (2)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Varone has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Komarov
Varone
Home
49.2% (537)
48.0% (221)
Away
45.7% (591)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Komarov
Varone
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
42.7%
P3
47.5%
50.0%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Phil Varone |