Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Komarov wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 46.7% vs Danault 51.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 53.5%
Defensive zone
Komarov 76.7%
Neutral zone
Komarov 61.5%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Komarov
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Komarov
Danault
Last 6: Komarov 2-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Komarov
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (56)
51.9% (917)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
52.4% (42)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (139)
48.6% (72)
-2.6%
On power play, Danault has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Komarov shoots left. Danault is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Komarov
Danault
Home
49.5% (103)
53.7% (477)
Away
40.4% (99)
50.0% (554)
By Period
Komarov
Danault
P1
49.1%
52.4%
P2
39.0%
47.3%
P3
49.3%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |