Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 24-11 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Komarov 84.2%
Defensive zone
Komarov 96.0%
Neutral zone
Komarov 87.7%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Komarov
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
24
(35 meetings)
11
24
Komarov
Crosby
Last 10: Komarov 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
12
Komarov
Crosby
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
7
Komarov
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
5
Komarov
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
52.8% (17,990)
-4.2%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
57.4% (4,733)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
47.1% (765)
-1.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Komarov
Crosby
Home
49.2% (537)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
45.7% (591)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Komarov
Crosby
P1
47.6%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
53.9%
P3
47.5%
53.3%
OT
41.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |