Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 49.7% vs Crosby 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.4%
Defensive zone
Komarov 78.0%
Neutral zone
Komarov 66.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Komarov
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Komarov
Crosby
Last 8: Komarov 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Komarov
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (159)
49.4% (1,194)
+4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.6% (350)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
43.4% (53)
-14.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Komarov is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Komarov shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Komarov
Crosby
Home
48.6% (107)
51.3% (776)
Away
50.6% (85)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Komarov
Crosby
P1
44.8%
50.5%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
53.0%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
49.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |