Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 46.7% vs Crosby 48.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.4%
Defensive zone
Komarov 82.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 58.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Komarov
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Komarov
Crosby
Last 8: Komarov 3-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Komarov
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Komarov
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (56)
46.8% (1,360)
-3.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.8% (357)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (139)
45.2% (31)
+0.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Komarov shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Komarov
Crosby
Home
49.5% (103)
51.0% (867)
Away
40.4% (99)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Komarov
Crosby
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
39.0%
47.9%
P3
49.3%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
35.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |