Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.0%). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Marchant 48.3% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 57.1%
Defensive zone
Marchant 57.8%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Komarov
Marchant
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
50.5% (368)
-1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
28.6% (7)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
42.4% (158)
+3.2%
On power play, Komarov has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Komarov
Marchant
Home
49.2% (537)
50.3% (302)
Away
45.7% (591)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Komarov
Marchant
P1
47.6%
46.3%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
47.5%
48.1%
OT
41.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%