Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.2% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 64.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.1%
Neutral zone
Komarov 61.4%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Komarov
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Komarov
Trocheck
Last 5: Komarov 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
1
Komarov
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Komarov
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (163)
50.8% (783)
-2.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.0% (95)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
51.8% (83)
-26.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Komarov is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Komarov shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Komarov
Trocheck
Home
42.9% (84)
54.9% (506)
Away
48.0% (100)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Komarov
Trocheck
P1
52.7%
52.3%
P2
48.5%
50.8%
P3
36.1%
52.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |