Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 78.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 92.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Newhook
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Newhook
Draisaitl
Last 5: Newhook 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
57.4% (1,010)
-12.5%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
56.2% (331)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
54.5% (110)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Newhook
Draisaitl
Home
45.1% (246)
56.4% (734)
Away
48.0% (246)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Newhook
Draisaitl
P1
44.7%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
62.1%
P3
43.9%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |