Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 69.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 71.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 55.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Shaw
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Draisaitl
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Shaw
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
56.6% (956)
-5.0%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
53.5% (144)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
55.1% (98)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Draisaitl is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Shaw
Draisaitl
Home
55.2% (163)
56.1% (626)
Away
53.4% (163)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Shaw
Draisaitl
P1
56.7%
56.9%
P2
50.9%
53.7%
P3
55.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |