Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.4%). Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 84.4%
Defensive zone
Froese 81.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.6%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Froese
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Froese
Draisaitl
Last 5: Froese 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
4
0
Froese
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Froese
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
48.9% (894)
-0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
44.8% (134)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
50.0% (10)
-1.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Froese
Draisaitl
Home
48.1% (312)
52.5% (516)
Away
48.5% (330)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Froese
Draisaitl
P1
43.6%
48.2%
P2
48.4%
48.2%
P3
52.4%
48.8%
OT
75.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Byron Froese |