Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.7%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
48.9% (894)
+4.2%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
44.8% (134)
+18.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (65).
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Home
56.0% (84)
52.5% (516)
Away
48.0% (25)
44.3% (522)
By Period
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
P1
47.4%
48.2%
P2
60.6%
48.2%
P3
55.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |