Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 57.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 88.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 78.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Dewar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dewar
Draisaitl
Last 5: Dewar 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Dewar
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Dewar
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
57.4% (1,010)
-11.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.2% (331)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
54.5% (110)
-4.5%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Dewar
Draisaitl
Home
43.9% (189)
56.4% (734)
Away
49.3% (221)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Dewar
Draisaitl
P1
50.4%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
62.1%
P3
40.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |