Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 76.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 75.0%
Neutral zone
McKegg 72.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
McKegg
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McKegg
Draisaitl
Last 5: McKegg 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
McKegg
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
McKegg
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
52.6% (1,124)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
49.2% (193)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
McKegg
Draisaitl
Home
45.3% (64)
55.5% (816)
Away
44.8% (96)
51.4% (845)
By Period
McKegg
Draisaitl
P1
48.1%
51.1%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
37.9%
56.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |