Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 78.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Beagle
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beagle
Draisaitl
Last 5: Beagle 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Beagle
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Beagle
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
52.6% (1,124)
+4.6%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
58.4% (344)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
49.2% (193)
+2.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Beagle
Draisaitl
Home
62.0% (200)
55.5% (816)
Away
53.4% (264)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Beagle
Draisaitl
P1
55.8%
51.1%
P2
60.1%
51.6%
P3
54.5%
56.9%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |